Fig. 5From: Modelling the population fluctuation of winter moth and mottled umber moth in central and northern GermanyEffects of prec_pupa (mm × 10) (left) and tmin_imago (°C × 10) (right) on the probability of threshold exceedance of the hazard code (Eq. 4.7). Grey areas mark the 95% confidence intervals of the model effects, dotted vertical lines represent minimum, mean and optimum conditions for moth development, later applied in the sensitivity analysisBack to article page