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Table 1 Abundances and demographic rates in the 50 ha plot in eight censuses, or seven census intervals (rates appear beneath the second census of an interval)

From: Demographic trends and climate over 35 years in the Barro Colorado 50 ha plot

Demographic measure

Category

1982

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

Observed individual density (ha −1)

Sapling

4285.1

4424.1

4453.7

4149.8

3849.8

3748.7

3726.9

3734.8

 

Tree

416.1

412.9

423.5

428.0

422.8

416.0

414.6

415.3

Median species abundance (50 ha)

Observed sapling

135.0

115.0

109.5

99.0

90.0

90.5

104.5

104.5

 

Fitted sapling

134.0

126.2

114.8

105.3

101.3

105.2

109.2

113.5

 

Observed tree

31.0

30.0

28.5

27.5

29.5

30.5

29.0

30.0

 

Fitted tree

31.3

31.1

30.9

30.7

30.4

30.1

29.9

29.6

Mortality rate (% ·yr −1)

Observed sapling

 

2.64

2.24

2.55

2.81

2.36

2.37

2.44

 

Fitted sapling

 

4.81

4.76

4.70

4.65

4.61

4.57

4.54

 

Observed tree

 

2.73

1.95

1.87

2.08

2.29

2.26

2.46

 

Fitted tree

 

3.27

2.60

2.49

2.63

2.78

2.92

3.07

Median growth rate (mm ·yr −1)

Observed sapling

 

1.18

0.98

0.62

0.60

0.60

0.61

0.78

 

Fitted sapling

 

1.17

0.82

0.50

0.58

0.67

0.78

0.89

 

Observed mid-sized tree

 

1.70

1.34

1.04

1.00

1.01

1.00

1.16

 

Fitted mid-sized tree

 

1.80

1.44

1.14

1.21

1.29

1.37

1.45

 

Observed large tree

 

5.69

3.56

2.74

2.80

2.78

2.66

2.75

 

Fitted large tree

 

6.05

3.70

2.76

2.82

2.88

2.94

3.00

  1. Observed medians of species abundances are based on all species in each category used in the modeling (see Methods). Fitted median abundances (the fixed effect) are from the piecewise hierarchical model. Because species was a random effect, the fixed effect is the mean of all species medians